PLEASE NOTE: This site is an archival resource, no longer updated as of June 1, 2026. Current questions: The Fiscal Lab.
The Federal Budget: Spending, Taxes, and Debt

EPIC Analysis: Bidenomics Slush Fund Spending through September 2023

The American Rescue Plan Act (ARPA) provided $350 billion for a new, temporary program administered by the U.S. Department of the Treasury called the Coronavirus State and Local Fiscal Recovery Fund (SLFRF). The SLFRF was intended to provide money to state, local, territorial, and tribal governments to support their response to the pandemic and to help with recovery. A significant motivation for the SLFRF was to replace state and local tax revenue based on the assumption that these governments would experience shortfalls like those experienced during previous recessions.<br />However, the reduction in state and local revenues never materialized to the extent Congress anticipated at the time of enactment. Rather, state rainy day funds have doubled, and state budgets increased more during the pandemic than in any year since 1979. State and local revenues have also increased by 24% since the pandemic began. Through September 2023, there have been $210 billion in obligations made by state and local governments from their SLFRF allotments. Excluding money reserved for territories and tribal governments, about $120 billion in SLFRF funds remains unobligated.

SLFRF Adopted Budget and Obligations through September 2023

Expenditure Category Adopted Budget Obligations
Revenue Replacement $106 billion $94 billion
Negative Economic Impact $74 billion $62 billion
Infrastructure $31 billion $23 billion
Public Health $24 billion $19 billion
Public Sector $9 billion $7 billion
Premium Pay (Public Sector) $3 billion $3 billion
Administration $3 billion $2 billion
Total $250 billion $210 billion
Source: EPIC using data from the U.S. Department of the Treasury. This unobligated $120 billion could be clawed back by Congress to be utilized instead as an offsetting rescission for other priorities, given that the COVID-19 pandemic has long ended. The farther away from the pandemic the SLFRF obligations get, the more likely the funds are to be used for purposes unrelated to the original Congressional intent of the law. This is evident based on Treasury’s recent push for local nonprofits and governmental entities to use the funds for non-pandemic efforts such as “investing in long-term affordable housing projects.”

State and Local Government Obligation Rate from June to September 2023

Expenditure Category 3-Month Obligations "Percentage Change
June to September"
Revenue Replacement $4 billion 4%
Negative Economic Impact $2 billion 3%
Infrastructure $4 billion 21%
Public Health $1 billion 6%
Public Sector * *
Premium Pay (Public Sector) * *
Administration * *
Total $12 billion 6%
Note: *Less than $1 billion. Source: EPIC using data from the U.S. Department of the Treasury. Between June and September 2023, state and local governments obligated about $12 billion from their SLFRF allocations. This includes $4 billion in “revenue replacement” which, according to the U.S. Government Accountability Office (GAO), “provides recipients with the most flexibility in their use of SLFRF awards and streamlined reporting requirements” relative to the other allowable spending categories.

Cumulative State and Local Government Obligations Since 2021

Cumulative State And Local Government Obligations Since 2021 Source: EPIC using data from the U.S. Department of the Treasury. Given that “revenue replacement” was ultimately not a necessary expenditure based on actual state and local revenues, Congress should consider removing this option for future SLFRF obligations.

Author

Paul Winfree, Ph.D.

Paul Winfree, Ph.D.

President & CEO

Paul Winfree, Ph.D., is the President and CEO of the Economic Policy Innovation Center (EPIC). He has served in top management and policy roles in the White House, the U.S. Senate, and think tanks. Prior to founding EPIC, Winfree served in multiple positions during three different tours at The Heritage Foundation. These included Distinguished Fellow in Economic Policy and Public Leadership, Director of Economic Policy Studies the Richard F. Aster Fellow, and acting Director of the Center for Data Analysis. Before rejoining Heritage in 2018, Winfree was Deputy Assistant to the President for Domestic Policy, the Deputy Director of the Domestic Policy Council, and the Director of Budget Policy, all at the White House. Winfree was also Chair of the Deputies Committee that oversaw the execution of all domestic policy at the Deputy Secretary level throughout the administration as well as the interagency policy coordination process. During the 2016 Presidential Transition, Winfree led the team responsible for the Office of Management and Budget. Winfree served three terms as Chair of the Fulbright Foreign Scholarship Board , a 12-member board selected by the President of the United States. In 2022, he received a distinguished service award from the U.S. State Department’s Bureau of Education and Culture Affairs for his “stewardship during the COVID-19 pandemic, and for meaningful contributions to advance mutual understanding through the Fulbright Program.” Winfree’s research focuses on U.S. economic history, public finance, political economy, the economics of media, and the economics of education. He is author of a book on the evolution of economic and fiscal policy from colonial America until the present called The History (and Future) of the Budget Process in the United States: Budget by Fire (Palgrave Macmillan, 2019). His research has been featured in The Wall Street Journal , The New York Times , The Washington Post , Investor’s Business Daily , USA Today , and Congressional Quarterly , among other publications. Winfree holds a Ph.D. in economics from Queen’s University Belfast, an M.Sc. in economics and economic history from the London School of Economics and Political Science, and a B.S. in economics from George Mason University. He lives in Virginia with his wife and three children.

More from Paul Winfree, Ph.D. →

← All work