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The Federal Budget: Spending, Taxes, and Debt

Comparing The House And Senate Reconciliation Bills

The Federal Budget: Spending, Taxes, and Debt Infographics, Tables, & Charts Policy Rapid Response PublicationJune 29, 2025 By Matthew Dickerson
The One Big Beautiful Bill versions that passed the House and the proposed Senate version would both make important investments in border security, extend and expand the 2017 tax cuts, and make progress in addressing waste, fraud, and abuse. This report compares the fiscal effects of the two proposals. The House and Senate bills both produce similar net changes in outlays, reflecting reductions in autopilot spending programs and new investments in border security and national defense. However, the Senate bill includes larger reductions in revenue and larger deficits. As a consequence, the Senate version of the One Big Beautiful Bill violates the Fiscal Framework agreed to in the budget resolution. Figures for the Senate bill are based on the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) cost estimate produced on June 28, 2025, for the Amendment in the Nature of a Substitute, relative to the official baseline.

Official Baseline – Conventional Scoring

OBB Compare House Senate Outlays Static 6.29.2025 OBB Compare House Senate Revenue Static 6.29.2025 OBB Compare House Senate Deficit Static 6.29.2025

Dynamic with Interest

The House Budget Committee “estimates that economic growth will average 2.6 percent over ten years—generating a substantial $2.6 trillion in deficit reduction.” The figures below incorporate the House Budget Committee’s dynamic assumptions for both the House and Senate versions and the resulting net interest costs for each. Because of the Senate bill's larger deficits, interest outlays would be higher than under the House-passed bill. OBB Compare House Senate Outlays Dynamic Interest 6.29.2025 OBB Compare House Senate Revenue Dynamic Interest 6.29.2025 OBB Compare House Senate Deficit Dynamic Interest 6.29.2025

Author

Matthew D. Dickerson

Matthew D. Dickerson

Director of Budget Policy

Matthew D. Dickerson is Director of Budget Policy at the Economic Policy Innovation Center (EPIC). Dickerson is recognized as an expert on fiscal policy issues, including the budget, appropriations, and entitlement reform. His articles have been featured in the Wall Street Journal , the Miami Herald , National Review , the Sacramento Bee , the Washington Times , the Baltimore Sun , The Hill , the Washington Examiner , and other outlets. Prior to joining EPIC, Dickerson served as Senior Policy Advisor on the staff of the House Budget Committee, where he helped lead development of the fiscal year 2024 budget resolution. He has a dozen years of experience on Capitol Hill, including as a senior staffer with the Republican Study Committee (RSC), the caucus of conservatives in the House of Representatives. Under four different RSC chairmen, Dickerson held senior level roles including Policy Director and Senior Policy Staff. Additionally, he served as Legislative Director and other policy positions for the late Congressman C.W. Bill Young (R-FL), a former Chairman of the powerful House Appropriations Committee. During his tenure at The Heritage Foundation, Dickerson was Director of the Grover M. Hermann Center for the Federal Budget. In this capacity, he oversaw a team of budget analysts and economists researching diverse subjects including spending, entitlements, budget process, tax, labor, pensions, and infrastructure issues. He has also been a Policy Manager at Americans for Prosperity, where he supervised a team of fellows and analysts covering a variety of federal and state policy issues. Dickerson is a graduate of the College of William and Mary in Virginia and holds a Bachelor of Arts in Government and History.

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