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The Federal Budget: Spending, Taxes, and Debt

The Budget Process Can’t Be Overly Prescriptive

The Federal Budget: Spending, Taxes, and Debt Policy Rapid Response BlogJanuary 22, 2026 By Matthew Dickerson
Since the Founding, the federal government’s budget process has gradually evolved in response to contemporaneous events and challenges. Today, the basic structure of the budget process is governed by the Congressional Budget Act of 1974. However, Congress and the Executive Branch have shed, either formally or informally, many aspects of the 50-year-old Congressional Budget Act. Notably, fiscal year 1974 was the last year where discretionary outlays comprised a majority of total spending. In the context of the experience of those who created the Budget Act, it was logical that the new process they were establishing would be centered around completion of the regular appropriations bills. Despite the Budget Act’s driving focus on completing the annual appropriations process, Congress did not follow through. There was never some mythical time when the appropriations bills were consistently enacted on time. According to data compiled by the Pew Research Center, all of the regular appropriations bills have been enacted by the start of the fiscal year only four times in the last five decades. Pew Appropriations On Time 1.19.2026 Moreover, appropriations spending has become less important in the context of the overall budget. Since 1974, autopilot spending has exploded and is projected to continue growing under current law. Today, discretionary outlays make up less than a third of total spending. Pacman Discretionary 1964 To 2024 1.19.2026 An important lesson to be learned by budget process reformers is that overly prescriptive procedures, such as those in the 1974 Budget Act, are unlikely to be sustainable. In general, the process by which budgeting occurs should be less prescriptive about the individual steps that must be followed by lawmakers. The modern legislative process is not a boardgame that will be orderly followed from square to square. Any budget process that relies on a complicated calendar or numerous required sequential steps is a process set up to fail. As EPIC President and CEO Paul Winfree has written, “When the budget process has been successful, the structure does not have material effects on the actual outcomes. As many budget analysts have said over a long time, process does not guarantee outcomes.” The budget process may not be able to dictate detailed policy outcomes, or even predict all the steps necessary to arrive at the end goal. But a successful budget process should help point lawmakers towards a shared understanding of the north star that policymaking should strive towards. The budget process should establish guardrails around the debate and light waypoints to help guide the way towards fiscal sustainability. Rather than focusing on the exact steps that future Congresses would be expected to follow every year, today’s policymakers should be incentivized to address the unsustainability of federal spending. Congress and the President should set responsible and enforceable budgetary targets. Policymakers should then have flexibility on how to use their time and resources for how to meet those overall targets.

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Matthew D. Dickerson

Matthew D. Dickerson

Director of Budget Policy

Matthew D. Dickerson is Director of Budget Policy at the Economic Policy Innovation Center (EPIC). Dickerson is recognized as an expert on fiscal policy issues, including the budget, appropriations, and entitlement reform. His articles have been featured in the Wall Street Journal , the Miami Herald , National Review , the Sacramento Bee , the Washington Times , the Baltimore Sun , The Hill , the Washington Examiner , and other outlets. Prior to joining EPIC, Dickerson served as Senior Policy Advisor on the staff of the House Budget Committee, where he helped lead development of the fiscal year 2024 budget resolution. He has a dozen years of experience on Capitol Hill, including as a senior staffer with the Republican Study Committee (RSC), the caucus of conservatives in the House of Representatives. Under four different RSC chairmen, Dickerson held senior level roles including Policy Director and Senior Policy Staff. Additionally, he served as Legislative Director and other policy positions for the late Congressman C.W. Bill Young (R-FL), a former Chairman of the powerful House Appropriations Committee. During his tenure at The Heritage Foundation, Dickerson was Director of the Grover M. Hermann Center for the Federal Budget. In this capacity, he oversaw a team of budget analysts and economists researching diverse subjects including spending, entitlements, budget process, tax, labor, pensions, and infrastructure issues. He has also been a Policy Manager at Americans for Prosperity, where he supervised a team of fellows and analysts covering a variety of federal and state policy issues. Dickerson is a graduate of the College of William and Mary in Virginia and holds a Bachelor of Arts in Government and History.

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